NFL Week 13 odds, picks: Patriots upset Bills in Buffalo; Bengals continue to roll against Chargers

Week 13 is upon us and that provides us one other full slate of video games to guess on. There are a variety of high quality matchups this week, together with some pivotal video games that can seemingly influence the ever-evolving playoff image as we go down the stretch run. That’ll actually add a bit bit extra spice to those picks as we glance to have one other stable run with our locks of the week as we hit on three of our 5 choices in Week 12.

Alright, let’s get to those picks!

2021 report

Locks of the Week ATS: 33-23-4
ATS: 81-94-4
ML: 105-73-1

Newest Odds:

Dallas Cowboys
-5.5

The Cowboys are coping with a COVID-19 spat that can go away them with out head coach Mike McCarthy for this sport, however this membership is gifted sufficient and fill-in coach Dan Quinn has sufficient expertise the place I do not assume that’ll have a lot of an influence. In the meantime, the Saints may very well be making a change right here with Taysom Hill in as their beginning quarterback. Irrespective of if it is Hill or Trevor Siemian, Dak Prescott ought to be capable to out-duel them with relative ease. In the meantime, Dallas is 6-0 ATS in its final six video games towards the NFC, whereas the Saints are 3-8 ATS towards groups with a profitable report.

Projected rating: Cowboys 28, Saints 21
The decide: Cowboys -4.5

Newest Odds:

Cincinnati Bengals
-3

The Bengals have gotten their mojo again in current weeks and at the moment are within the thick of the AFC North race. In the meantime, the Chargers have stalled out, dropping 4 of their final six together with a loss to the Broncos final week the place Justin Herbert threw two picks. What’s extra regarding for L.A. is that they allowed the Broncos to common 4.5 yards per carry whereas recording 147 yards and two touchdowns on the bottom. They rank deal final towards the run in DVOA, which is s scary proposition as they’re on the brink of face Joe Mixon. The Chargers are additionally 1-5 ATS of their final six, which does not instill numerous confidence.

Projected rating: Bengals 28, Chargers 24
The decide: Bengals -3

Newest Odds:

New England Patriots
+2.5

Week 13 ends with a doozy because the Patriots and Payments will go head-to-head, with these rivals neck-and-neck within the AFC East race. New England is driving a six-game profitable streak the place they’ve fully dominated their competitors and have additionally gone 6-0 ATS. One space the place the Payments may assault them is in on the bottom, as that is been a weak spot for the Patriots, however Buffalo does not actually lean on the bottom assault, so it does not precisely match up. In the meantime, New England’s passing sport is catching a break because the Payments simply misplaced star nook Tre’Davious White for the 12 months. With a crew as sizzling and as well-coached because the Patriots, I will gladly decide up the sector purpose right here.

Projected rating: Patriots 24, Payments 21
The decide: Patriots +3

Newest Odds:

Detroit Lions
+7

It’s important to give the Lions credit score — they hold round! Regardless of being 0-10-1 coming into this matchup, they’re 7-4 ATS on the season, which is the fourth-best mark in the whole NFL. That is fairly exhausting to disregard when they’re set to go towards a Vikings crew that can seemingly be with out Dalvin Cook dinner, Everson Griffen, Danielle Hunter, and Patrick Peterson. Sure, D’Andre Swift may presumably be out for Detroit on this one, however Jamaal Williams is a really appropriate substitute. Additionally, the Vikings are 1-8 ATS of their final 9 video games as a favourite and 0-6 ATS towards groups with a dropping report.

Projected rating: Vikings 27, Lions 21
The decide: Lions +7

Newest Odds:

Indianapolis Colts
-10

The Colts suffered a heartbreaking loss to the Bucs final week and can look to bounce again towards a a lot simpler opponent within the Texans. Houston has some extent differential of -11.6 on the season, which is second-worst within the NFL and solely above the New York Jets, whom they misplaced to in Week 12. Even with rookie Michael Carter out for the Jets, the crew was nonetheless in a position to rush for 157 yards and two touchdowns within the win over the Texans. That seemingly has Jonathan Taylor foaming on the mouth, longing for this matchup. Indy is 4-0 ATS in its final 4 highway video games and is 5-1 ATS in its final six video games as a highway favourite.

Projected rating: Colts 30, Texans 17
The decide: Colts -9