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Agent’s Take: 2021 contract year stock watch has Mike Williams, Allen Robinson on opposite ends of spectrum

December 16, 2021
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Agent’s Take: 2021 contract year stock watch has Mike Williams, Allen Robinson on opposite ends of spectrum
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Contract yr performances can have vital financial penalties. Fortunes could be made and misplaced when enjoying on an expiring contract. Trey Hendrickson and A.J. Inexperienced are prime examples.

Hendrickson was only a situational go rusher throughout his first three NFL seasons with the Saints. He got here out of nowhere in 2020 to tie three-time NFL Defensive Participant of the 12 months Aaron Donald for second within the NFL with 13.5 sacks. Hendrickson parlayed his contract yr success right into a three-year, $45 million contract averaging $15 million per yr with the Bengals throughout March’s free company.

Inexperienced was the opposite finish of the contract yr spectrum. A wholesome Inexperienced had his worst yr statistically as a professional in 2020 whereas enjoying for the Bengals on a $17.971 million franchise tag, Inexperienced’s statistical downturn was preceded by a few injury-plagued seasons. The 32-year previous free agent signed a one-year, $6 million deal price as much as $8.5 million by incentives with the Cardinals to attempt to rejuvenate his profession. 

With the NFL season heading into the homestretch, listed below are 10 gamers who’re both serving to themselves or aren’t doing themselves any favors of their contract yr. A key contract benchmark and the chance of hitting this monetary goal starting from one greenback signal to 4 {dollars} indicators are listed for every participant.

Gamers Serving to Themselves

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Monetary Benchmark: Marshon Lattimore

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  • $19.4 million common
  • $68,346,588 in ensures
  • 5 years price as much as $100 million with incentives

Chance: $$

Jackson is placing to relaxation any questions on whether or not he might assume No. 1 cornerback duties in New England raised by Stephon Gilmore’s early season departure to the Panthers in a commerce. The 2018 undrafted free agent, who’s enjoying beneath a $3.384 million restricted free agent tender, was named November’s AFC Defensive Participant of the Month.

Jackson is the NFL’s premier ballhawk. He’s second in league this season with seven interceptions. Jackson has the NFL’s most interceptions for the reason that begin of the 2019 season with 21.

A franchise tag could possibly be on the horizon, though wage cap area might be at way more of a premium than throughout this yr’s free company spending spree. Jackson’s franchise’s tag initiatives to $17.287 million (8.303% of the $208.2 million 2022 wage cap). The Patriots have $185.73 million in 2022 cap commitments with 47 gamers beneath contract and simply over $3 million of unused 2021 cap area that may be carried over to the 2022 league yr, in keeping with NFLPA information. Below offseason accounting guidelines, solely the highest 51 salaries (i.e.; cap numbers) matter.

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Monetary Benchmark: Tyler Lockett 

  • $17.3 million common
  • $37 million in ensures
  • 4 years

Chance: $$$

Williams began the season like gangbusters with 22 receptions for 295 yards with 4 touchdowns within the first three video games. He hasn’t been in a position to maintain that tempo however is having a profession yr. Williams has 61 receptions (a profession excessive) for 915 yards with seven touchdowns in 13 video games. A franchise tag is not out of the query. The Chargers have the NFL’s second-fewest 2022 cap commitments with $144.9 million, though solely 33 gamers are beneath contract. It’s going to price the Chargers $18.816 million to designate Williams as a franchise participant, which is a 20% p.c elevate over his present $15.68 million fifth-year possibility.

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Monetary Benchmark: Matt Milano 

  • $10.375 million common
  • $23 million in ensures
  • 4 years

Chance: $$

Campbell did not signal a one-year, $2 million cope with an extra $500,000 in playtime incentives till June as a result of no one was prepared to satisfy his goal value, which was initially within the $10 million per yr vary in keeping with my sources. It was the second yr in a row Campbell signed a one-year “show it” deal in free company. The bottom worth of the Packers contract is for one-third of the cash he made in 2020.

Campbell is flourishing in Inexperienced Bay as an every-down linebacker. He was named NFC Defensive Participant of the Month for October. In 5 October video games, all victories, Campbell had 45 tackles, one sack, three tackles for loss, an interception, two compelled fumbles and two passes defensed.

Campbell would possibly take a extra cautious method to free company due to his earlier experiences on the open market. He’ll have a greater shot of cashing in throughout free company with an off-ball linebacker market extra like 2020 than 2021. Milano was the one such linebacker to hit the $10 million per yr in mark 2021. 5 off-ball linebackers did in 2020 (Jamie Collins, Cory Littleton, Blake Martinez, Joe Schobert and Kyle Van Noy).

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Monetary Benchmark: Leonard Floyd

  • $16 million common
  • $32.5 million in ensures
  • 4 years

Chance: $$$

The Titans had been anticipating an improved go rush this season. Bud Dupree was signed to a five-year, $82.5 million contract (price as much as $85 million by incentives) with $35 million of ensures. 2021 is proving to be a misplaced season for Dupree. He’s presently on injured reserve with an stomach damage and missed three video games early within the season associated to the torn proper ACL he suffered final December enjoying for the Steelers. Landry is greater than doing his half. He has a career-high 11 sacks (eighth within the NFL) this season. The Titans retaining Landry could possibly be a tough proposition. Landry can be justified in insisting on greater than Dupree to stay in Nashville given how issues have unfolded between the 2 this season.

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Monetary Benchmark: Hunter Henry

  • $12.5 million common
  • $25 million in ensures
  • Three years

Chance: $$

Schultz had a breakout 2020 marketing campaign with 63 receptions for 615 yards and 4 touchdowns because of Blake Jarwin’s proper ACL tear within the 2020 season opener. He was slated to be Dallas’ blocking tight finish till Jarwin’s damage. Schultz hasn’t seemed again since profitable a preseason competitors with Jarwin to be the starter. He is almost matched his 2020 manufacturing by 13 video games this season. Schultz ranks seventh amongst tight ends with 53 receptions and eighth with 584 receiving yards. Surprisingly, Schultz is fifth amongst tight ends with 267 yards after the catch.

Schultz ought to be the beneficiary of the dramatic bounce within the tight finish market since 2020 free company started. There weren’t any tight ends making over $10 million per yr when the 2019 season ended. Now there are seven. Among the many seven are Hunter Henry and Jonnu Smith, who obtained $12.5 million per yr offers from the Patriots on this yr’s free company. Neither ranks within the high 20 amongst tight finish in receptions or receiving yards this season. Actually, Schultz is not far off from their mixed manufacturing of 61 receptions and 665 receiving yards.

Gamers Who Aren’t Doing Themselves Any Favors

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Monetary Benchmark: Keenan Allen

  • $20.025 million common
  • $50 million in ensures
  • 4 years

Chance: $

Coming into this season, Robinson had thrived in Chicago regardless of shaky quarterback play. He had the NFL’s fourth-most receptions (200) and receiving yards (2,397) during the last two seasons (2019 and 2020).

Robinson is within the midst of his worst NFL season (apart from 2017 when he tore his left ACL within the season opener). The 28-year-old has 32 catches for 353 yards with one landing in 10 video games. This may be attributed to a scarcity of chemistry with rookie quarterback Justin Fields reasonably than a diminishment in abilities.

One factor Robinson would not have to fret about is getting one other franchise tag in 2022, which might price $21.556 million. The dearth of manufacturing this season in all probability will not have an effect on Robinson’s monetary expectations. The four-year, $80.1 million contract extension Keenan Allen obtained from the Chargers final preseason was an necessary information level to Robinson’s camp when the final severe contract discussions reportedly came about early within the 2020 season.

That sort of value was going to restrict the variety of suitors in free company even when Robinson had been performing in 2021 like he did through the earlier two seasons. Robinson solely wants one staff to view 2021 as an anomaly much like how the Giants had been the one staff prepared to signal Kenny Golladay to a four-year, $72 million contract (price as much as $76 million by incentives) with $40 million of ensures this yr.

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Monetary Benchmark: Andrew Whitworth (2017 deal)

  • $11.25 million common
  • $15 million in ensures
  • Three years price as much as $36 million with incentives 

Chance: $

Brown’s prolonged coaching camp hold-in solely produced slight modifications to his current contract as an alternative of a brand new deal. Seattle’s reluctance to provide Brown a brand new contract stemmed from his age. Brown is 36, and there is not a lot of a monitor report with offensive tackles enjoying at a excessive stage into their late 30s in addition to Rams left deal with Andrew Whitworth, who simply turned 40. Brown is exhibiting indicators of decline this season. He has allowed eight sacks in keeping with Professional Soccer Focus. It is the identical quantity Brown gave up throughout his earlier 4 seasons mixed (2017 by 2020).

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Monetary Benchmark: Jarrad Davis 

  • $5.5 million common
  • $5.5 million in ensures
  • One yr price as much as $7 million with incentives

Chance: $$$

The Cowboys declined to choose up Vander Esch’s fifth-year possibility for $9.145 million due to sturdiness considerations. This season, Vander Esch hasn’t resembled the participant who was a Professional Bowl participant and earned second staff All-Professional honors as a rookie in 2018. After being an every-down linebacker for many of his first three NFL seasons when wholesome, Vander Esch has been on the sphere for 53% of Dallas’ defensive snaps regardless of enjoying each sport and Jaylon Smith being launched early within the season.

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Monetary Benchmark: Logan Thomas 

  • $8,021,667 common
  • $10.315 million in ensures
  • Three years 

Chance: $$

Engram hasn’t been in a position to construct upon final yr’s choice to the Professional Bowl, which was aided by accidents to Zach Ertz and George Kittle, when he had 63 catches for 654 yards and one landing. He was initially slowed by a calf damage that stored him out of this season’s first two video games. Engram ranks twentieth and Twenty third, respectively, in receptions (36) and receiving yards (342) for tight ends in 2021. If 2017’s Twenty third-overall choose needs a possibility to get within the higher stratosphere of tight finish pay, he’ll in all probability must signal a one-year deal someplace and have a profession yr in 2022. Gerald Everett is presently enjoying beneath a one-year, $6 million contract price as much as $7 million by incentives with the Seahawks, which is in step with Engram’s $6.013 million fifth-year possibility for 2021.

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 Monetary Benchmark: Kenyan Drake 

  • $5.5 million common
  • $11 million in ensures
  • Two years price as much as $14.5 million with incentives

Chance: $

Jones was a part of one of many NFL’s higher working again mixtures with Leonard Fournette final season when he almost had 1,000 dashing yards in 14 video games whereas averaging 5.1 yards per carry. He has taken a backseat to Fournette this season. Jones acquired in head coach Bruce Arians’ doghouse by fumbling within the season opener towards Dallas and making psychological errors in go safety. Jones had 10 video games with 10 or extra carries in 2020. He was one this season.



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Premier League issues statement on fixtures due to COVID-19

Premier League issues statement on fixtures due to COVID-19

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